Washington please win im begging you

>>145032161
i think it might be good to cash out if they get another lead.

>>145032191
well decision time. i'm going to hold just a bit.

cashing out is an IQ test my books to scam you out of equity

>>145032191
I can't
Im doing a parlay of them, minnesotta ML
And nevada - oregon state over 46.5
I am doing a challenge thing where if i win 3 consecutive bets of atleast @3.00 (one in friday, one in saturday and one in sunday) i would get a reward of about 500 dollars
Atleast if i lose this i will still have a massive amount of gains, but it would have been a very big missed chance
Also they got a lead now, PLEASE HOOOLDDD

Can minesotta still come back?

>>145032395
yes its only a one possesion game

>>145031900
Just lost money on a UFC fighter who won 4 out of 5 rounds but still lost the decision. UFC more scripted than WWE.

>>145032302
sometimes cashing out when ahead is the right move.

Minnesotta has yet to score...

>>145032650
case in point, they aren't letting me cash out this washington state game now. they aren't doing it because they don't think they wash st can stop them from scoring and wrecking the spread

>>145032769
it honestly doesn't look good. ohio state spread not looking promising either.

>>145032971
We still have the 3rd and 4th quarter left... i want to believe

colorado looks like they are getting ground down

NNOOOOO I THOUGHT MINESOTTA HAD A GOOD DEFENSE THEY LOST THEIR LEAD

2 minutes left... 3 points behind... is it over?

what a disaster this day turned out to be

>>145034978
think im gonna break even
maybe up a $150 if these last few break right
lots of dumb shit ruined a good day

10 goals in colorado/columbus and rantanen didn't have one of them

Wow why did minesotta's odds suddenly drop without any scoreline change,

>>145035170
they need to beat the spread. if they tie it, the bet just voids/pushes

HOLY SHIT
PLEASE HOOOLD YOU GOLDEN GOPHERS

LETS
FUCKING
GOOOOOOOOOO
>verification not required

Bears Moneyline!

told you fag
ksu is soft and matches up bad
col covers and i win again

>>145036261
Lmao it took a miracle INT for Colorado to push. They had negative rush yards. Colorado is soft as fuck.

>>145036012
I bet on a bears victory. Jaguars from what I know are a shit team anyway.

Morning Euros, thank god the yank shits over.

Zheng shitting the bed the @germ

>>145038023
True, but Sabalenka shit the bed even harder. There's our over 2.5 sets.

Went all in on NaVi @1.66 v "MOUZ" in the CS final in Rio. They played all 6 finals this year, #1 ranked etc.

>>145013589
Sabalenka won 2-1. Knew Zheng was due for a set win. Thankfully getting broken while serving for the second set didn't matter. Next time they play I expect a straightforward 2-0 for Sabalenka again.

>>145018504
Tomljanovic won in a lopsided 2-0 so that worked perfectly. Hibino lost 2-0 however. Maybe I am underrating Siegemund a bit. Been a bit too obsessed with fading her lately. Have to wait for better opportunites.

Have a bunch of stuff I'm eyeing for tomorrow but not fully decided on everything yet. Will probably post picks later today.

I need just one last over @3.00 bet.
Im thinking of austria double chance and greece ML, but it would only be at around 2.4
Is there any CFB bet today that is safe? It doesnt need to pay much
Or would it be better to only take austria ML and greece ML?

>>145032327
>>145038672
You really get 500 $ if you complete this? Here's my suggestions
G2 @3.15 over Bilibili in LoL
Sweden over 3.5 goals @3.55 in Estonia
Messi over 1.5 goals @3.10 v Bolivia (last time on monumental he scored a hattrick against them)
Colo Colo @1.63 & Libertad @1.93 combo

Eagles/Browns O2.5 turnovers @ +105

>>145038754
Yep. My bookie does this challenge every weekend.
I get 500$ if im the only one who wins it
But if someone else wins it, it gets distributed equally between the winners
Also it needs to be a bet from a game that is played today. Is the LoL game played today? Pls tell me more about it

>>145036012
bookie bait

>>145038985
>Is the LoL game played today? Pls tell me more about it
that league game is played after this one ends https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1H_jveURiQ (looks like the current one will go to 3 maps so in like 1h30min will start). realistically it shouldn't hit but i put 300 on it because it's my favourite team and i meme'd myself into it. G2 are the best from europe, Bili is top 3 chinese https://bo3.gg/lol/news/predictions-final-day-swiss-stage-worlds-2024 you can read here. the only reason it could work is bilibili's poor form and G2 showing they can go toe to toe with asian teams. don't wanna have you on my conscience, so do what you want, as i said i betted it, it's probably value but it's unlikely

>>145038110
chilli you can use this. maybe take G2 to win 1 map (+1.5 handicap) and combine it with NAVI. but it might still be under 3.00, depending what odds you got

Bears need to wake the fuck up.

>>145037944
>>145039333
comedy

>>145039333
might be getting caught out by statistical correction for jacksonville. and it's not like chicago has beaten anyone.

>>145039393
Sick of the Americans Rom. They can't even make the thread correctly how can anyone trust them with a top tip.

Armenia/N Macedonia BTTS yes @ -110

>>145039294
I think i got something:
>austria double chance
>greece ML
>NaVi +1.5
>total @3.08

>>145039458
lmao you’re actually butthurt over losing ANOTHER soccer bet

any thoughts on IND +2.5?

>>145040077
I'd just do Shane van Gisbergen to win the NASCAR race today @3.75. They let an Australian road course champion into a series where most of the drivers don't care about road courses. He's been making everyone look like amateurs and only has one true challenger in Almendinger @7.00. But i think he's not as good as he used to be and he has a new crew with him today. I think you just get in and get out with making 1 straight bet here because it's like betting the heavy favorite at this race at the price of a Longshot at this point.

>>145040534
Hmm... a top 3 finish is @1.51 too
If i add that, i can change greece ML into greece double chance, in case of a draw...
Or maybe i could indeed just go all in for him to win the race
What is motorsport betting like? If he is the absolute favorite, yet his victory is @3.15, then does that mean upsets happen very often?

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WE'RE SO BACK GERMANBRO!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7BDBzgHXf64

G2 lost the 1st map from the first 2 minutes
fml

>>145040395
never bet on the titans

DC Finland or Tie is the cheeky bet of the day

>>145040682
There's a lot of things to out of the driver's control. A wreck from other drivers at the wrong time can mess up the plan that the leader was counting on to have fresh tires. They can get cycled back in the field and have to make up ground on cars that took a risk and didn't have to pit when the leaders did. It's not like F1 where Verstappen was winning so much because of better equipment and there's less wrecks and no stage breaks like NASCAR. Gisbergen raced just yesterday in a lower series and was as low as @1.5 to win which is really rare but somewhat justified. He didn't win because he pitted at the wrong time and Allmendinger caught up to him with fresher tires. It was his first time at this track yesterday, but he still had the fastest laps in qualifying. Maybe he misses a turn and gets penalized at which point the Top 3 would still be attainable, so that might be your best bet. He's such a heavy favorite because it's a "playoff race" and some of the best drivers don't have to win today but just win stages and not crash out essentially. I expect that to factor in today leaving a handful of drivers he has to compete with. It's still not a sure thing they can even catch up to him because he'll be so fast. If it comes down to it and it's SVG and Dinger fighting for the lead then they're teammates and wouldn't want to wreck each other. Neither would a playoff driver. Kyle Busch is another who wants to win but wouldn't wreck SVG either. So in that sense Top 3 is a sensible choice.

>>145039110
Shut the fuck up

>>145040811
You won a million bucks ?

>>145041619
I see.
So i think i will go with this
>greece double chance @1.18
>austria double chance @1.29
>NaVi +1.5 @1.29
>van gisbergen to finish in the top 3/podium @1.59
>total @3.12

Or would it be better to just go with greece ML @1.8 and ditch the austria game?
>greece ML @1.83
>NaVi +1.5 @1.29
>van gisbergen top 3/podium finish @1.59
>total @3.75

>>145041952
I won back everything i lost plus tip

Hooker time

Ravens beat the commanders by 2 scores
Cardinals cover but lose
Colts-Titans plays over 42

>>145041017
Won the 2nd
>>145041958
Navi is best of 5, so they still have to win 2 maps, fyi

Told you to take the Bears

>>145036721
>push at 4.5
>plays in sports never happen

>>145039458
Take the Dinosaurs +21.5

>>145041958
I'd ditch the austria bet because of the Haaland factor. Ideally there should be a way to keep greece at dc. I'd consider adding the Bengals in some way or the Winnipeg Jets.

>>145042353
Well, its still a rather safe bet, right?

>>145042472
Cincinatti bengals ML?

>>145042476
I have them to win so i think so

Where my fellow greeks at? Turn up!!!

Lions destroy the Cowboys tonight and Bengals destroy the Giants tomorrow morning.
Steelers probably also beat the Raiders, but not betting on it.

>>145042565
Yeah they've been pretty hot lately. Giants missing their receiver. The game might end after midnight I think you're an hour ahead in Chile time.

Just ate avocado and salmon, taking the over 65.5years lifespan easy money

>>145040811
Congrats, but didn't look like you were actually quitting.

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>>145042907
Its my yin and yang

>>145042568
Are they struggling?

>>145043620
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qF_Ms45jRtM you can watch here. first to 13 wins the map

Lost £10 because Bellendham couldn't get 1 shot on target

>>145043620
Did you lock in your parlay?

Is Romanian bro here?

>>145044399
Its austria double chance, greece double chance, NaVi to win atleast 2 maps and cincinatti bengals ML.
NaVi already won one.

>>145042260
not looking hot

>>145044530
Good I'm kind of glad you didn't go SVG. Sounds like its going to be a crazy race. That Bengals bet could be a dramatic completion to your acca tonight. But there's been rumours the Giants head coach is going to lose his job. It could be an easy win as well. All things considered the Bengals have more firepower and Joe Burrow has always been delivered in the clutch. Good luck.

>>145044797
i think the risk with the bengals game, even though i am planning to bet on them, is that daniel jones has quietly been decent this year and the bengals have been giving up a lot of points.

>>145044859
Their defense is pretty bad desu. I could see NY putting up some points on them.

did the baker mayfield collapse start last week?

>>145044984
Hmm, but what are NY's biggest flaws right now? Aside from missing their reciever

>>145044859
He'll always be decent and he should be with how much money they gave him. Just because he's played above his low expectations doesn't mean he's leading a good football team.
>>145044984
Defense is all about effort. If they want to make the playoffs they know they have to play better. A few games dynamic QBs maybe make their stats look worse than they are.
>>145045116
They're flawed everywhere but D-line and Burrow can just throw over top of them. And when I say flawed I mean deeply and fundamentally cursed for quite some time now.

>>145045856
I see... but dont CFB teams have home advantage? The thing that worries me the most besides that daniel jones guy is the fact that the cincinatti bengals are the visiting team

NAVI WON THEIR 2ND MAP
1 DOWN, 3 TO GO

>>145038841
looks like i missed on this one. meanwhile mayfield threw 3 picks in the first half. and i think there were 3 or 4 in the london game.

my 3 first td scorers hit, $20 paid $17k and the jews took $4k from me. this is the first time ive won anything higher than a couple hundred on anything

>>145044445
I'm here. How are you?

>>145046066
PARTY FOR EVERYBODY. DANCE
COME ON AND DANCE

Let's get them 500 dollars Chil-sama

Took over 36.5 in Pedos - Scouts and this mfs going under again

is van gisbergen leading?

>>145038536
For tomorrow:

Mannarino to beat Safiullin @2.8

Shnaider to win a set against Badosa @1.6

Bondar to win a set against Kasatkina @2.3

GET INNNNNNNN
Holy shit the Scouts are fucking terrible. The Priests are raping them next week

>>145045991
Daniel Jones is better on the road than he is at home. As well as playing worse in night games. Metlife Stadium won't be a hostile environment. Playing on the road allows the Bengals to be away from their families and focus on football. Then they can get their defense together. The only thing to worry about is Tyrone Tracy at RB and if he runs for a lot of explosive plays on the Bengals D. But also the Giants missing another Singleterry who is another RB for them, and who they depend on for short yardage situations and who I believe helped them play close against the Cowboys when they were on the road. Keep in mind it's only priced this way because of the Giants win against the Seahawks as 6.5 point dogs but we now know the Seahawks weren't that good.

>>145046975
Larson passed him in the pits now SVG's a second behind. He needs to get him back on a restart.

>>145046599
I'm good, lost a little money today.

Do you have any tips?

any thoughts on denver/san diego?

Bet your future ex-wife’s alimony on the Bengals!

>>145047503
150+ passing yards for both QBs

>>145047473
I think Sweden @1.28 is a lock tomorrow. Don't know what to make of the rest. Slovakia is clearly better but it's away

>>145047967
I'm going Italy win and Germany - Netherlands O1.5.

>>145044757
Colts-Titans over was kind of a bad beat. Can’t believe how badly the Cardinals played. Very poor. Same with Baltimore, they dominated and only pushed instead of covering. Oh well, onto SNF and MNF

>>145047070
Mannarino plays Tuesday, not tomorrow. The other two matches are tomorrow.

Chilly what happens if Bengals finish after 00:00 ?

I believe that's chil's biggest concern right now.

this gisbergen guy is not even close. last time i ever take motorsport advice from here, or frankly last time i ever bet on it.

Never in doubt. Or should i say NAVI in doubt

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Let me do some occultism. I know Indians use this to bet on cricket all the time. I've had success with it myself... Is Senga supposed to go long? Senga's Aquarius sun is in a much better spot than Flaherty's Libra sun which is playing to the mars affliction that is currently in the sky. The start of the game is right on his Senga's Venus which plays to Mars then an hour later goes into a bad spot with Mars. Flaherty's already afflicted with mars. They were born with the same Mars. So after 4 innings Flaherty starts to unravel. If Senga is still in so does he. But his strikeout and hit total is only 2.5 so I'm assuming he's supposed to go long. But he's going to look really good to start so the manager could make a mistake. I think I'll take Mets first half and a live over after the 3rd or 4th inning or after an hour into the game. If Senga is still in by then I'll livebet the Dodgers runline.

GUYS... I THINK I WON?!
For some reason today's acca of @3.1 registered as a normal bet instead of a "challenge" bet, therefore it wasnt part of the x3 challenge.
I asked support what was happening, and they told me that i already had won the 3 bets which were part of the challenge
On friday, i bet on peru @4.00
On saturday, an acca of croatia, spain and bulgaria dnb @3.00
And that same day, the CFB acca which, since one of the games ended around 1AM, it registered as today's bet
Since bulgaria drew, the odds went down to @2.38, so i thought i had to try again to proceed, but they told me that the bet i made now was not part of the x3 challenge, and that i only have to wait for tomorrow, when they hand out the prizes....
Regardless, i obviously cashed out with 230,000 pesos, and i now have 289,000 in the bet account. (Started with 20,000 and made back 80% of my losses from the past year)
I only have to wait for tomorrow to come.
And if i do get the 500,000 pesos, i still need to bet them on a minimum of @1.5 odds in order to be able to deposit them on my bank account...
Regardless, this might be my greatest win ever....

>>145050185
>Regardless, this might be my greatest win ever
Congrats bro

>>145050185
cheers, you'll finally be able to invest on art

>>145050175
Meant to say he's NOT supposed to go long. Only 2 innings last game, but 3 strikeouts. Over 2.5 strikeouts @2.02 might be worth it. Ohtani's chart is afflicted on the same line as Senga's strength. NRFI is a good bet based on this.

NCAAF Miami Hurricanes () -3.5 Point Spread -130 @ 1u

How do you guys win? I'm at -$550

>>145050745
dodgers likely aren't going to chase as much as the phillies did, so 3K feels like a lot if he is only going to go 2 innings.

>>145050539
>>145050475
Thanks anons
Unfortunately a whole bunch of guys won the prize
So i will get at most 62,500 pesos... but its still a hefty amount, i have to say.
When i bet them, they will go up to around 95,000. And if i retire that, i will have made back all of my losses from the last year.

>>145051086
Congrats bro

NCAAF Central Michigan Chippewas () +2.5 Point Spread -108 @ 1u

>>145047770
boy do i regret this one

NCAAF Alabama Crimson Tide () -2.5 Point Spread -115 @ 1u

>>145051547
Yawn

Night night yankees.

>>145052245
it hit

NCAAF UCF Knights () +13.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u

NCAAF Iowa Hawkeyes () -6.0 Point Spread -110 @ 1u
Analysis: There's -5.5 offshore

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New bookie. Lost my whole bankroll last week. Made 1k from 200. While retiring 100 for booze and weed. I'm joking. After losing everything i hit rock bottom. So i lost 2.7k on navi v furia. Wrong for 3 reasons. And a 4th one that will blow your mind. 1) double elimination match. (meaning even if they'd lose they'd go to "quarters" and FURIA go to semis. the Final 4. Where there's also crowd.
2) Navi players complained about fatigue from playing all the finals and not having any free time. 3) FURIA is from brazil.
So double elimination + fatigue + host nation (who has to reach final 4) = the 4th reason
And that is: match fixing . Throwing the game. FURIA WAS 4.50 to win the game famalam.
Oh, hold on. The story doesn't start there. it starts with zverev losing to goffin. 300 . Then 2700 on navi @1.21 to recover the zverev loss. Then the last 2k on faze @1.7 v mouz. Lost 5k in one day. Went home. My mom.gave me 100, my dad then 100. I put them on the credit card, deposited, and then roulette. HOLD ON. the story begins 1 day earlier.
After losing on faze v mouz. I went for a walk. I thought i had 100 ron left. deposited 60. Roulette. Red. Winnn. Then again roulette martingale 5 10 15 25 ron. Made 185. All in on lol. 315. All in again lol
450. All in again on russian hockey. Lost. On omsk to score against the last place barys astana who lost every game from 3-0 up including a 1-10 in the last 5.
And then with 200 from my parents on red on roulette. Lost. Lowest point of my life. Blocked my account. I told my ma what i did. she gave me 200 more. I told her 90% i'll lose them. On the new bookie had to convert a bonus of 200 into 20x. So 4000.
But i read t&c. First they take your real balance, then the bonus.

Ok. So first i had a bet with returned stake in case of a loss, a promotion for signing up. So i lost that. Then with 196 real balance put in on navi in the semis v heroic @1.31, AND the bonus a day before on NaVi 2:0 in the quarters @1.96 i believe and made 392. So out of 4000 it considered : 200 rolled. Then i put 392 on egypt to score @1.60.;
Odds had to be over 1.60 .
Made 600 sth
On nigeria to score . Made 1000.
And it rolled from 4000 :(200+392+600+1000). Anyways had 2900 rolled. And i had 1700 in bonus money. And these fuckers also said in terms and conditions they'd only give me 2x the bonus received. I read that 25 times to understand. So what, the bonus for depositing of just 200? So max you give me is 400? I even asked support. Yes, indeed. So i knew from 2900 i need to roll 4000 and i spammed first half goals for euro games last night. Could've made a fortune there. Instead i got 400 and these 250 next navi game vs heroic. So i withdraw 400 to pay my utilities at least. and they lost the first map. and in the second one they are 9-1 down. And they make it 9-3 before they switch sides. Then win the pistol round. Which means they get more money for better equipment for next round. And they make a comeback. but at 11-11 heroic wins the round and we play to stay in the map and the game. And navi makes it 12-12 and they win in overtime. After that, field day on the 3rd map. The same was in the final. Clutch comeback. Remember these words. Clutch. Comeback. And today I deposited back 300. Put them on G2 to win a map ->550, and also had 350 on navi to win the final ->570.
And i got a bonus of 300 to roll 15x which i put on G2 to win @3.45 ; but i wanted to lose the bonus because it forces you to put your whole real balance before. And in the cs final, at 2-0 i put a counter of 50 ron on mouz at 9.80 ; either 1020 or 1070, not either 550 or 1120; that's BRAINS , a?

Golden Knights -1.5 -110
Bengals -4
Bengals/Giants o45.5

All of these will hit. Parlay it and become rich, right now!

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Just another day, just another day, just another day around the hood today

>>145054805
Ok, so if the math doesn't add up when i rolled the bonus to 4k it's cause i also had vitality to win 1st map @1.70 v mouse in the quarters. A game which they lost. And then also pisses me off FURIA then went on to lose the very next game after navi, the semifinal with mouz: 13-3 13-3

Jesse Winker 1+ hits @ -120 or O1.5 hits/runs/RBI @ -165

.381/.458/.810 vs Flaherty

>>145054945
Are you poor? You bet like it.

>>145054959
>vitality to win 1st map @1.70 v mouse in the quarters.
For 1k . Crucial. So had rolled 200+392+ 600+ 1000. Total it was 2950 or sth. And 1100 that i knew i had to roll, having a 1900 and knowing they only give 400, i just thrown 1100 on turkey over 0.5 in first half in the 43th min, just to finish fast. In 4 minutes: Congratulations. 400 ron added to your account. This episode really shifted my perspetive. i think i'm one of the bettors of the world. Cheez

Senga what are you doing

Lost 1k on aviator

NRFI x

>>145049396
Hey my bad it was just the Chile anon needed a 3.00 and I thought it was peculiar that this one shot was an option. Just don't bet the roval. He was the 3rd best car. Hocevar spun him out so he had to risk staying out where he would've held onto 3rd but someones wheel falls off and makes him lose his lead with the caution. But yes I overlooked Larson but if you wait till next year you can still make money off SVG at road courses like COTA or the glen.

what is this USA/mexico soccer game? are real players playing?

>>145055024
good call but he can't run the bases

the bengals look awful

under 6.5 ducks knights live 2.00

>>145042706
Hope you guys followed my advice. Both Lions and Bengals won.

Ottawa ML @ -125
OTT v LAK U6 goals @ -115

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My ff team just started having every manager pick a bet each week for a parlay and we hit our first one today lmao

>>145060017
i had a parlay today for bijan, montgomery, and mike evans to score TDs. 51 points for tampa and evans wasn't any of them.

>>145058444
They fucking won though

>>145055127
>>145054959
>>145054805
>>145054781
Welcome back Ronan Lose-a-tonne.

You need to do betroll management NOW, only back 80% on what you actually know. And the other 20% on the shit American tips. Never all In, always a percentage of your bank roll. The loss is done move on.

>>145047070
Shnaider to win a set worked perfectly. Deservedly won the first set 6-4. Think she wins the whole match now too but obviously don't need to worry about that. The Kasatkina - Bondar match got cancelled due to a change in the draw so that's a push. Mannarino still left to play tomorrow.

I'm adding Marozsan to beat Coric @1.8 for today. Match starts pretty soon.

Italy -1.75 @ -155

>>145046373
i would like to see this slip
>>145051086
dont bet soccer
rape promos
martingale in the casino
selectively tail the tennis germ
dont bet soccer
no parlays
fade public sentiment in NFL NBA and some NCAA
do not bet soccer

>>145063114
>martingale in the casino
Slots?
>rape promos
Ah yes, free spins for free money
>no parlays
Must have +100 at least
>sentiment in NFL NBA and some NCAA
Unless you don't go over, or under, similar to all sports

NCAAF Texas State Bobcats () -9.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u
Analysis: Don't like the -10 as much

NCAAF JMAD @ GAS 60.5 Total -115 @ 1u
Analysis: 60 is okay

NCAAF KSU @ WVU Over 53.5 Total -115 @ 1u
Analysis: 54 is ok

>>145062968
feels like marozsan just blew it

>>145060010
Ullmark is apparently injured. Pass.

>>145063081
>mfw italy scores 3/4 of a goal and my bet pushes

>>145063791
Coric isn't even playing that well. This should still be winnable if Marozsan wakes up a bit but he really can't keep giving away cheap breaks like that.

NCAAF ARKST @ SOUMIS Over 54.5 Total -110 @ 1u
Analysis: Stopping at 55

NCAAF Florida Atlantic Owls () +3.5 Point Spread -112

Azerbaijan/Slovakia O2.5 -105 @ 1.05U

Azerbaijan should struggle but im banking they can find one. Don't think Slovakia struggles much at all to find the net

NCAAF Florida International Panthers () -5.5 Point Spread -108 @ 1u

NCAAF Auburn Tigers () +5.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u

>>145063905
it was almost impressive how he choked. 3-0 in the second set.

CFL MTL -4.5 @ -110

>>145064484
canadian football? thats greasy

>>145064428
Yep, embarrassing performance. Coric would have probably lost to most top 50 players playing like that but Marozsan had other plans.

azerbaijan sure has a knack for blowing it right in front of the goal

NCAAF TCU Horned Frogs () +6.5 Point Spread -105 @ 1u

NCAAF Indiana Hoosiers () -6.5 Point Spread -115 @ 1u
Analysis: don't like as much at -7

>>145064542
what the fuck is slovakia doing
0.11 xG versus these shitters
pretty sure they could use a win too

>>145065145
i thought it was going in just now

>>145064179
>>145065145
we got it

>>145065307
took a red card but easy $100
turning that shit off

Juan Soto O1.5 total bases @ +135

Soto is 7-11 off of CLE starter Alex Cobb, but keep in mind Cobb might not pitch too deep into the game.

Successful start to day in Soccer lets run it back:

UEFA Nations League: Turkey/Iceland O2.5 -122 @ 1.22U

what are we thinking about MNF? i am wondering if the jets might be the way to go here. bills have struggled 2 weeks in a row against good defenses. they went 1-1 against this jets defense last season. jets offense is not great this season, but it is better than what wilson was doing last year so you would think the defense won't get stuck out there the whole game.

i dont care about the math. CazyTime and Lightning Roulette are fun

>>145065523
im thinking over 41.5 but i cant think of any reasonable way it goes under so probably bet under

>>145063277
roulette and sometimes blackjack or bacarat for martingale. i never play slots excepts for free spins.
i know i said no parlays but theres an exception. bookies are cowards and so afraid of straight boosts that theyll give you 50%-100%+ on parlays. grind promos up to $10-20 in free cash then do $1 boosted parlay. then go to the casino at recover the $1 75% of the time with martingale. made $50+ on casino promos today but thats unusual. typically net 100-200 a month before i blow it chasing a $7 loss.

>>145065523
Bills wouldve beaten Texans if they finished in the 4th. You saw them trying to find who to throw to. Maybe they figured it out by now. But its not a game you want to throw much. But turns of James Cook has turf toe so the 2nd string gets some snaps. It's another game where Allen has to run for first downs. Without a deep threat I think the Jets can bring him down better than other defenses. I think there's some speed in that secondary for it. Weird game. Lots of injuries on both sides. If the bills win its an over 42 and the jets its an under 42. I lean Jets because last years opener was a good memory for them.

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NCAAF KENEST @ MTNST Under 51.5 Total -110 @ 1u

soccer is corrupt
they let this dude kick a PK and score
then VAR took the kick away and point

>>145067745
back in business

>>145063081
israel actually scoring was not the way i saw this bet potentially tanking

>>145067836
easy day

>>145062968
Additional bet for tomorrow:

Virtanen to win 2-0 against Fognini @2.25

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NCAAF Michigan Wolverines () -3.0 Point Spread -115 @ 1u
Analysis: don't want 3.5

Braelen Allen O7.5 rushing attempts @ -115

>>145068253
took him ATTD at +310

Chris Kreider O2.5 shots on goal @ -160

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>>145068819
I'd take a stab on the under 2.5 if i had to on that prop
its 0.6% +ev but i filter everything under 2%
nhl is tough

>>145068819
Panarin goal simple as

havent won for a week straight and now i won 3 times in a row and iswtg it always happens like this, im either on a losing or winning streak

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>>145069547
forgot pic, also i always have to win when i bet a small amount

MLB Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs +550 @ 0.25u

MLB Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Batter Walks +275 @ 0.25u

Analysis: Batting 6th. Four AB’s last game so he’s getting leash (although PH risk is there). .376 xISO vs. LHP in a limited sample size. 11% barrel rate for Rodon. Adding a walk along with it because I do not want to get screwed out of his PA’s.

taking a heat check on a truly egregious soccer game:

Concacaf Nations League: St Lucia 1H ML +100 1U

Bad bad soccer here but Saint Martin is a different level of bad

Thinking about cashing out my Mets bet and flipping for the dodgers at +470

Rodgers and Allen trade blows number is too low GO OVER 41.5

>>145070890
think its going to be extra windy
like 20mph with 30mph gusts

Dalton Kincaid tuddy

>>145070940
i took the over on his yards

>>145068173
>Virtanen to win 2-0 against Fognini @2.25
I took this one and also took O'Connell straight up over Diallo.

>>145070914
forecast is for wind to die down after 8 but over still seems too obvious

>>145070758
dodgers pull this out and theyre winning it all

>>145070624
It's actually a cricket pitch fuck me

>>145071257
elite teams

its over

What a dive HAHAHAHAHAHA

U41 on the bills jets is a go ahead for me . Bills will probably win 17-6 or some shit . And I'm saying this as an Overchad

>>145071018
Interesting, what makes you think O'Connell is the right pick? Don't have much of a read on this match.

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Free money

>>145071500
he's been playing well lately. he has acquitted himself well in his recent losses to guys like berrettini and michelsen.

>>145071540
For the bookie, yes

>>145066554
>betting an under in a game between two of the worst defenses in CFB
you simply are not going to make it

>>145071729
i have every bet tracked for the season and have a 22% roi over 160 bets

>>145071770
guy's more creative than Spielberg

Oh look, Americans arguing over their tips again..

took a 7 point teaser; Bills +6 and O34

>>145071892
coward

>>145071892
I did South Alabama -6.5 instead lol

Under chads it's over

Uhh js this game slowing down? They need to stop punting right now.

holy fuck just feed kincaid

>>145073870
They never do despite having another blocking tight end and no slot receiver.

>>145073168

>Windy/gusty
>Bills have no receivers
>No James Cook
>Rodgers hobbled
>Jets offense never shows up, Jets defense usually does
>Shootout

Thanks, I hate it.

>>145074107
Well, it's a long shot but the Jets could totally get shut out in the 2nd half..who knows. I break even if the bills just win

>>145071540
still alive at the half

>>145075028
i took bass FG. i did not expect the bills to convert so much in the red zone.

>>145075101
Bass is going to miss whatever field goal he lines up for. That's why 2nd half under 21.5 is so enticing.

>>145075243
haha. nice

that bum

>>145075490
The bills don't have a field goal kicker folks

>>145071540
>free money
>Lazard has 6 rec.
Off by 1

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flexin my moonshot, the fact it was a $20 "free" bet makes it that much better

>>145078327
Enjoy tax season you greedy chud

any thoughts on romania/lithuania? romania is away, but they've looked good.

>>145078446
I put a small bet on Romania win and +1.5 goals total.
Reason I didn't make it bigger is because the first win against Lithuania was very finnicky. There was one Lithuanian goal VAR'ed and we got two goals in the last 5 minutes.

>>145078327
That's insane, congrats

>>145047070
Crazy comeback by Mannarino to win 2-1. Thought for sure it was over when he got broken in the second set but he broke Safiullin serving for the set and won a tiebreak where they both refused to win points on serve. Then Safiullin completely collapsed in the third set. For once I'm on the right side of such a collapse. Would have been so mad if I had picked Safiullin.

>>145068173
Virtanen with the 2-0. Second set was a bit scary but he got it done in a tiebreak. Pretty good day overall.

Decided I'm going for one more bet today: Over 2.5 sets in Shevchenko - Kukushkin @2.25

>>145079830
On

you think we can get 3 goals out of croatia/poland?

is no one watching these games? just won $200 of AFCON, couldve been more but i cashed out on Senegal before the scored at the 98th

>>145082344
I just don't like to /bet/ in the middle of the week. But maybe I should

>>145082344
What do you even look for there?

thinking about O2.5 sets or tie break yes for berrettini/stricker.

>>145079830
Kukushkin really brought this to two tiebreaks just to lose them both. Don't think my read was that off. Was a pretty close match. Just didn't quite work out.

>>145082568
I think I'd rather take the tiebreak. Feel like if Stricker wins the match it's likely a tiebreak scenario anyway.

>>145082759
the read was good. it can be a tough call between tie break and 3 sets

>>145082810
it's why sometimes i cop out and wager on total games

NFL DEN @ NO Under 37.5 Total -115 @ 1.15u

Analysis: Willing to pay a little extra for the 37.5 with 37 being an important number here.

Chris Olave likely doesn't clear protocol, Rashid Shaheed has a "concerning" knee injury, and Derek Carr is expected to miss at least another week. The Broncos defense has been fantastic this season and they should only get better.

Meanwhile, Bo Nix isn't good unless it's against an inferior defensive opponents, and even then he's quite pedestrian. Road game on short rest against a talented Saints defense doesn't scream offensive outburst.

Wouldn't be surprised if this closes below 37 even if Taysom Hill manages to make it back and play on Thursday.

>>145082800
Wins a set I mean.

UEFA Nations: Kosovo 1H ML -120 1.20U
UEFA Nations: Scotland/Portugal O2.5 -155 1.55U

>>145082759
you got greedy again

>>145082835
too many variables for too low a number. its a no bet for me

tsu anytime?

>>145078424
It’s just a screenshot from an ad that was on Facebook recently.

NCAAF Colorado Buffaloes () +4.5 Point Spread -110 @ 1u

>>145083295
Yep, every time.

Bromania

>>145081119
i should have put a lot more money on this one

>bulgaria decides to just get raped 3-0 in the first half
Ok well..at least I only made a small bet on that U2.5.

>>145085312
i was looking at betting on NI or betting under 0.5 for bulgaria, but just decided to stay away.

fuck you portugal

>>145031900
I bet on Belarus, Romania, Spain AND on a 2 pt lead in favor of Portugal, looks like the last one is going to fuck me over

>>145085934
Same desu >>145086068

Bet Jacqueline Cabaj Awad tomorrow in tennis.

ITF Kayseri

She's done well in September going deep in tournaments.

She's playing a literal who who hasn't played since May and has 1 win since 2021.

>>145086068
Belarus will fuck you over too it seems.

muller choking

>>145086286
Indeed. Alternatively I was considering betting on a 3-1 Portugal win (and on nothing else), for some reason I was really convinced that Portugal would annihilate Scotland

>>145086537
I know that feel. I also thought Netherlands would destroy Hungary and I got KWABED on.

>>145086092
1.18 is suspiciously high for Cabaj Awad. Sezer hasn't been decent in ages. I guess an ITF level player can't really be that much more of a favourite against a former sort of ok player but still. Guess bookies think there is some chance the old Sezer shows up? I don't see it.

4 props for the cfb games tonight:

Damien Taylor over 50.5 rushing yards -115 @ .25u
Devonte Ross over 65.5 rec yards -115 @ .25u
TJ Pride over 24.5 rec yards -105 @ .25u
Marlion Jackson over 39.5 rec yards -120 @ .25u

Some really awful teams going tonight with some of the worst offenses and defenses in the country. These players have secured target shares and will be versus some of the worst coverage in FBS.

>>145086717
louisiana tech to cover? they're on the road and tend to give up 2nd half points, but NMSU is really, really bad.

took a flyer on stricker 10+ aces @ +175 as well as O22.5 games @ -110

>>145079830
2 bets for tomorrow:

Lamens to beat Bronzetti @2.35

Over 2.5 sets in Lys - Kessler @2.3

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>>145086909
Only play that i have is the under in the MTSU/KENN STATE game @ 51.5

LT should roll but its hard to trust any CUSA to cover double digit spreads. The conference is awful and very violate. Its still kind of hard to get good reads or trust stats when a lot of the CUSA teams have played high school teams. LT is taking money at -11.5 and that number is kind of in no mans land

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>>145087157
Kennesaw boutta go off take the over

>>145087583
They have the worst offense in FBS
134 of 134

>>145087634
Only because of quarterback and I'm 75% sure they're benching him for someone better. Good thing middle tennessee has the worst defense.
Opp Points/Game 43.6 (#127)
Opp Yards/Game 518.0 (#131)
There's bad teams that try and are still back and better than their record shows teams like Kennesaw State. Total trap game for tennessee.

>>145087861
middle tenn has the 127th ranked offense
both play slow
ill just keep my under 51.5

>>145087861
>Only because of quarterback and I'm 75% sure they're benching him for someone better.
they haven't said who the quarterback is?

>>145085312
>>145085409
Bulgaria is 100% betmaxxing all their games avoid at all costs. Also i won my over 4 corners for 2nd best ireland.
I repeat do not bet on Bulgaria ever or bulgarian teams.

>>145087928
Cope. You just suck.

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>>145087925
they are an fcs team that moved up to fbs but still have fcs players

middle tenn sucks too but its not like they have all american QB they didnt know about until 6 games in

What the mlb alcs bets? Over 7 for sure? Under? Yanks moneyline? Where the mlb pro bettors here?

>>145088203
should be yanks ML u7 but baseball is literally worse than a crapshoot

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>>145087925
Khalib Johnson came in for 5 snaps last game and looked visually impressive so sometimes players fall through the cracks because they promised someone else they'd start but you gotta start somewhere in the fbs, sam houston was 1st year and look how good they are now

Double oportunity on Ecuador looks good.
It seems Uruguay has an internal war because some players don't like Bielsa.
Paraguay-venezuela is going to be a slurper. -1.5 is paying well

>>145088821
>Paraguay-venezuela is going to be a slurper. -1.5 is paying well
First goal scored right after you posted that. lol

>>145088839
fugg
what a mufa post.

>>145087861

>9 points in the first half

We're fucked bro.

this LTech and NMSU game is horrifying

>>145091641
CUSA is terrible

>>145091207
yeah i feel sick for suggesting that but I hoped it rubbed off that I liked Kennesaw who had a int at tenn's 30 and a goalline run stuffed at the start not to mention my mug nhl bets

>>145091651
never touching it again

>>145091708
its fine to bet as long as you are careful. really hard to take sides with larger spreads though
teams are just so bad you have to be really sure of what you are taking

well the thing i'm noticing is that none of the guys mentioned in the prop suggestions here are actually getting the ball

>>145091791
yeah the troy game they had a QB in that passed for -6 yards in 30 minutes
other qb gave them some life and the RB is getting closerr

havent watched the LT/NMSU game but one pride fumbled the ball and might be in the dog house. jackson should get some looks

just another reason why i hate these shitter CUSA/SUN B teams. all of these players have been getting the majority of target share all year and then nothing so far

>>145091857
is jackson even a receiver? he's listed as having one carry.

NMSU was the worst team i have seen in years last week and tech literally cannot get a first down against them.

>>145091887
probably a gadet play but hes their most targeted WR
gets 4-5 catches a game and has some speed

havent watched the game but the box score looks fucking terrible. both teams have used 5 RBs

>>145091791
tj pride cashed
need 2 more

okay, well pride hit

>>145092160
have had really good results on props this year
just usually dont do them on weekday shitter teams

think im going to lay off them a little
they project well because of how bad the defensive metrics for the other teams are, but if a qb cant throw to someone open its moot

>>145092257
bullock was listed at like ~70% completion rate

>>145092383
they just arent targeting jackson oddly hes only got 2 jet sweeps
hopefully he gets a couple and breaks one off

ross cashed in garbage time
2/4 at worst on props and got the under on kenn state/mtsu for 1u

>added urguway to my night south american bet

bullock is shit

Oilers only down 1 now

>>145094387
LT and him are worse than thought

NMSU is an awful team
2nd worst team on offense, 126th pass blocking, 134th (last place) in RECV, 115th in defense, and 126th in pressure

>>145094555
coming into this game NMSU had an argument to be the worst team in the country

>>145094597
CUSA has like 6 of the worst teams in fbs
they would get rolled by the better FCS teams

>>145087120
Both worked perfectly. Lamens won in a convincing 2-0 and Lys and Kessler played a close match trading the first two sets. Feel like an idiot for not taking Diallo against Coric. Talked about how Coric isn't even playing well and of course he loses the next match 2-0. Just reaffirms how terrible Marozsan was.

>>145086092
Still wondering what bookies were thinking with these odds because Cabaj Awad won 6-1 6-1. Why did they think Sezer could do something here? Weird. But good look,

>>145097006
Not fully decided yet but heavily considering over 2.5 sets in Muchova - Cristian @3.4 tomorrow. Think Muchova is due for a set loss to an inferior player and Cristian isn't that awful. I generally wouldn't consider betting against Muchova right now but a set loss seems reasonable because she usually hasn't been the kind of player who consistently 2-0's everyone she plays and I think there were signs of shakiness against Gadecki even if it was still a 2-0.

>>145087120
parlayed at 6.73 very nice
>>145097197
heavily considering muchova 2-0

Why don't any of these sportsbook apps let you make up a bet and save it for later? I'd rather make up a bunch of parlays and pay it all at once instead of just one at a time.

>>145097346
Really, you like the Muchova 2-0 for these odds? Maybe I'm just imagining things but I feel like bookies are disrespecting Cristian a bit. She could she gets destroyed again like in Beijing but I thought the odds were more fair there. The fact that Muchova doesn't have a rest day due to the rain delays is another thing I don't like for her. As I said I'm not fully decided yet but I'm leaning more and more to the over 2.5 sets.

>>145097346
Also how did you get 6.73 with these odds?

Jarry/Kecmanovic O2.5 sets @ +110

>>145098063
I was eyeing Jarry to win but maybe over 2.5 sets is the better play. I like it.

Are any bookmakers taking early bets on England winning World Cup 2026?

I wanna put £5K on it.

>>145098144
you could double dip.

any feelings on djere to upset or grab a set off paul?

>>145098192
I'm a big Djere doubter so maybe I'm not the best at judging his upset potential but I don't really see it. Maybe he can get a set but I wouldn't even trust him to do that.

>>145098338
What about Sonego/Ruud?

>>145098350
I think Ruud wins. Everyone expects Ruud to keep disappointing. He's been complete shit these past tournaments with several round 1 losses. Money keeps coming in on Sonego. This is the spot where he wins again. Sonego is not someone who deals well with that kind of pressure of almost being the secret "favourite" even though he's the worse player. I expect him to choke and let Ruud have the win. I also get the impression he's not that good at dealing with heavy forehand spin, which Ruud obviously has a lot of, but Í could just be imagining things. Just to be clear I'm not actually betting on this match, just giving my thoughts. If I could get Ruud for like @1.8 I'd take him but that's not happening.

i bet the over on games and of course karatsev just lays down

Stricker really did end up winning a tiebreak

Auger-Aliassime to beat Fucsovics @1.45 later today. Might end up regretting this but he's a different player in indoor hard conditions. Think odds are a bit inflated because he's been so shit on outdoor courts lately.

>>145098017
just thinking about fading you because i think you might be reaching again
>>145098037
had a 30% boost i forgot to mention

stricker ended up winning 2-0. if he's fit he's an interesting bet moving forward.

>>145099073
I'll try to keep an eye on him too but might just be an outlier performance. He has big consistency issues and seems to gas out over several matches. Then again he's also someone who seems to come alive in indoor conditions so maybe he can keep performing.

Posted and bet FIU -5.5 @ 1u
Considering some more bets but waiting on better numbers.

1 unit of props for the games tonight

Kejon Owens over 51.5 rushing yards (projected for 73 yards)
0.5u play 3/4 bet @ o50.5 yards -114 and 1/4 bet placed at o59.5 yards @ +126
Snap share at RB condensed to 2 backs the last couple games. Ownes doubled up the touches of Joseph last week. UTEP ranks 112th in defense and 99th in run defense

Nazeviah Burris over 24.5 rec yards (projected for 33 yards) 0.25u play
Some risk on this prop since he is the #3 WR on the team but at least its pretty clear FIU wants to use him. UTEP ranks 114th in pressurem 119th in coverage, and 112th in overall defense

Ife Adeyi o26.5 rec yards (projected for 34 yards) 0.25u play
SHSU runs an offense that doesnt pass a ton so another play with some risk. WKU does have a stop the run well coming in 18th in tackling and 62nd in run defense. Target share for the SHSU WRs are all around the same numbers 14-17 catches on the year. WKU ranks 122nd in coverage